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Why Andrea Horwath is going to fail Ontario

“The Liberals have not learned any lessons from various scandals such as e-Health and the cancelled gas plants in Mississauga. The budget does not “rebuild trust with the public,”

And with that Andrea Horwath has decided to prop up the Liberal government of Ontario…

Wait… what????

Yes the same woman who said “You are Corrupt” about this Liberal government yesterday morning is about to reward its “Corruption” with more time in office.

Now you might say
How do you know that she will vote for this budget?
Isn’t that hypocrisy?
Why would she do that?

We know she will prop them up because she alluded to it after the budget was released

“We want to see them meet some of these targets, like on auto insurance it needs to be done in one year not one and a half… and we’re going to hold them to that”

No one who is thinking about toppling a government worries about holding them to doing anything because you would have removed them from office already. Andrea Horwath ploy of needing time for voter consultation is just that a poly, because as she said herself “They got more than they asked for”. She doesn’t want to seem hypocritical in proping up a government she has already confessed is corrupt”
Ontarians have made it quite clear that they don’t believe in this Liberal government no matter how they feel about Ms. Wynne. They are asking for change even if they don’t know who they want instead.

But the bigger question is why will she prop up a government she insists is corrupt.
The answer is likely one of these reasons.

She either thinks she can use Ms. Wynne as a puppet;
she believes she won’t win in an election or;
She doesn’t believe that the Liberal government did anything wrong.

My guess is its all of the above.
By proping them up on condition of following through you hold what I like to call “Worthless leverage”. It’s worthless because if government continues its track record of broken promises then the people will not only dislike Ms. Wynne for not following through but they will turn on Ms. Horwath for wasting time in getting the change we want. Now if the Liberals do achieve some level of competence in the time she gives them, people will begin to forgive the last 9 years of ineptitude. Voters especially in Ontario, tend to have short political memories as evidence by McGuinty’s last electoral “Victory”. Either way this doesn’t end well for the NDP.
Not that triggering an election would work right now for her anyways as all trends tend to point to another minority government but for either the Liberals or the PC’s with the NDP on the outside looking in. But ultimately she will prop up this government because all in all Ms Horwath is a Liberal wearing an orange jacket. Her recent turn about in regards to fiscal responsibility has been purely politics and not ideological. She is no more of a budget hawk than Ms. Wynne, she has been in favour of many of the Liberal tax increases before, railed against many of the tax cuts that corporations have received and championed many of the boondoggles before they became a hazard. She was against reforms to public sector wages and entitlements even when the Liberals were in favour of them. So at every turn Ms. Horwath has shown that she will talk like a populist but govern like any other Liberal.

So when Andrea Horwath fails to bring down the Liberals , she will have failed Ontario.